2408-9338Research result. Sociology and Management2408-933810.18413/2408-9338-2019-5-1-0-71665SOCIAL STRUCTURE, SOCIAL INSTITUTES AND PROCESSESMethodology of the Analysis of the Social Systems DynamicsMethodology of the Analysis of the Social Systems DynamicsYanitskyOleg N.YanitskyOleg N.oleg.yanitsky@yandex.ru20195100

Current globalization is both a system and dynamic but inherently contradictory process marked with a growth of geopolitical conflicts and risks. Drawing on the works of Russian and foreign theorists and on my personal experience of participation in a set of international research projects, the author has come to the following conclusions. First, the globalization is an all-embracing and all-penetrating process shaping a global sociobiotechnical system (hereafter, the SBT-system). Second, any kind of system dynamics is a complex system that is cemented by the informational networks and metabolic processes. Third, the informational processes generate the phenomenon of ‘space inversion’ shaping an integrated cyberspace. Fourth, the so-called recurrent modernization is not an actual process of development. Fifth, the world is shifting from the Third scientific-and-technological revolution (hereafter the STR-3) toward the Fourth one burdened with the twists and conflicts. Sixth, under these conditions, the world is becoming less predictable and more complex. Seventh, nonlinear flows of the resources, people and information make the transition process more unpredictable and even chaotic. Eighth, the existing social institutions fail to keep the pace with the life that makes a social world even more chaotic. Ninth, therefore the further the more the social institutions are becoming more mobile and the existing norms are forces out by a permanent dialogue and the temporary agreements (making roadmaps, etc.). Tenth, the individuals and their groups are becoming more superficial, mobile and their ties are weakening. Eleventh, under the STR-4, the individual and a society as a whole are living in two spaces, in a material and virtual ones. Twelfth, to be as strong as other superpowers, Russia has to make a triple ‘jump’: to restore its industrial potential, to ‘shift to the figure’ i.e. to rebuild its mode of production and public life on an informational basis, and to restructure its institutional system. Information for citation: Yanitsky, O. N. (2019), “Methodology of the Analysis of the Social Systems Dynamics”, Research Result. Sociology and management, 5 (1), 82-95, DOI: 10.18413/2408-9338-2019-5-1-0-7

Current globalization is both a system and dynamic but inherently contradictory process marked with a growth of geopolitical conflicts and risks. Drawing on the works of Russian and foreign theorists and on my personal experience of participation in a set of international research projects, the author has come to the following conclusions. First, the globalization is an all-embracing and all-penetrating process shaping a global sociobiotechnical system (hereafter, the SBT-system). Second, any kind of system dynamics is a complex system that is cemented by the informational networks and metabolic processes. Third, the informational processes generate the phenomenon of ‘space inversion’ shaping an integrated cyberspace. Fourth, the so-called recurrent modernization is not an actual process of development. Fifth, the world is shifting from the Third scientific-and-technological revolution (hereafter the STR-3) toward the Fourth one burdened with the twists and conflicts. Sixth, under these conditions, the world is becoming less predictable and more complex. Seventh, nonlinear flows of the resources, people and information make the transition process more unpredictable and even chaotic. Eighth, the existing social institutions fail to keep the pace with the life that makes a social world even more chaotic. Ninth, therefore the further the more the social institutions are becoming more mobile and the existing norms are forces out by a permanent dialogue and the temporary agreements (making roadmaps, etc.). Tenth, the individuals and their groups are becoming more superficial, mobile and their ties are weakening. Eleventh, under the STR-4, the individual and a society as a whole are living in two spaces, in a material and virtual ones. Twelfth, to be as strong as other superpowers, Russia has to make a triple ‘jump’: to restore its industrial potential, to ‘shift to the figure’ i.e. to rebuild its mode of production and public life on an informational basis, and to restructure its institutional system. Information for citation: Yanitsky, O. N. (2019), “Methodology of the Analysis of the Social Systems Dynamics”, Research Result. Sociology and management, 5 (1), 82-95, DOI: 10.18413/2408-9338-2019-5-1-0-7

agentcyberspaceglobal dynamicsglobalizationindividualinformationmetabolismnetworksrecurrent modernizationSBT-systemSTR-4social ordersystem approachtempo-rhythmsagentcyberspaceglobal dynamicsglobalizationindividualinformationmetabolismnetworksrecurrent modernizationSBT-systemSTR-4social ordersystem approachtempo-rhythmsСписок литературыAhiezer, A. S., Kogan, L. B. and Yanitsky, O. N. (1969), “Urbanization, society and scientific and technical revolution”, Voprosy filosofii, (2), 43-53. (In Russian).Galkin, A. A. (2003), “New times – new problems”, in Galkin, A. A. (ed.), State and society in the context of globalization: the left view, OOO "Overlay", Moscow, Russia, 8-46. (In Russian).Castells, M. (2000), “The Information age. Economy, society, culture”, in Shkaratan, O. I. (ed.), GU VSHEH, Moscow, Russia. (In Russian).Lapin, N. I. (2007), “Alarming stabilization”, Obshchestvennye nauki i sovremennost', (6), 39-53. (In Russian).Likhachev, D. S. (1980), “Ecology of culture”, Znanie – sila, (6), 22-24. (In Russian).Naumova, N. F. (1999), Recurrent modernization in Russia: trouble, guilt or human resource, Ehditorial URSS, Moscow, Russia. (In Russian).Arsenault, A. and Castells, M. (2008), “Switching Power: Rupert Murdoch and the Global Business of Media Politics”, International Sociology, (23), 488-513.Bauman, Z. (2001), The Bauman reader, Blackwell Publishers Inc., Malden, MA, USA.Bauman, Z. (2001a), “On Glocalization: Or Globalization for some, localization for some others”, in Bauman, Z. (ed.) The Bauman reader, Blackwell Publishers Inc., Malden, MA, USA, 298-311.Bauman, Z. (2001b), The Individualized Society, Polity Press, London, UK.Bauman, Z. (2017), A Chronicle of Crisis: 2011-2016, Social Europe Edition, London, UK.Beck, U. (1992), Risk Society. Toward a New Modernity, SAGE, London, UK.Beck, U., Giddens, A. and Lash, S. (1994), Reflexive Modernization. Politics, Tradition and Aesthetics in the Modern Social Order, Stanford University Press, Stanford, CA, USA.Brundtland, G. and Khalid, M. (1987), Our Common Future. The World Commission on Environment and Development, Oxford University Press, Oxford, New York, USA.The Global Risk Report (2018), World Economic Forum, Geneva [Online], available at: www.weforum.risks (Accessed 20 January 2019).Haberl, H., Fisher-Kowalski, M., Krausmann, F. and Winiwater, V. (2016), Society-Nature Relations across Time and Space [Online], available at: http://link.springer.com/book/10.1007%2F978-3-319-33326-7 (Accessed 20 January 2019).Keen, D. (2008), Complex Emergences, Polity Press, Cambridge, UK.Prigogine, I. (1997), The end of Certainty, Free Press, New York, USA.Urry, J. (2003), Global Complexity, Polity Press, Cambridge, UK.Urry, J. (2008), Mobilities, Polity Press, Cambridge, UK.Von Weizsäcker, E. U. and Wijkman, A. (2018), Come On! Capitalism, Short-termism, Population, and the Destruction of the Planet, Springer, New York, USA.